Skip to content
Infinite Craft Recipes

How to Make Probability in Infinite Craft

Probability is a long haul. Even on the shortest known route it takes 20 combinations to get there, and the final one is Chance plus Math. Expect to build several intermediate elements you will never use again.

The final combination

ChanceMathProbability

Long20 steps from the base elementscrafting depth 3010 known recipes

Full crafting path from the base elements

Start with Water, Fire, Wind and Earth, then follow these 20 combinations in order.

  1. 1WaterWaterLake
  2. 2EarthWaterPlant
  3. 3PlantWindDandelion
  4. 4DandelionWaterWine
  5. 5FireWineAlcohol
  6. 6AlcoholWindHangover
  7. 7HangoverWindHanglider
  8. 8EarthHangliderParachute
  9. 9AlcoholLakeVodka
  10. 10ParachuteVodkaRussian Roulette
  11. 11LakeRussian RouletteOdds
  12. 12OddsWindChance
  13. 13WaterWineHoly Water
  14. 14FireHoly WaterVampire
  15. 15DandelionPlantWeed
  16. 16VampireWeedCount
  17. 17WaterWindWave
  18. 18CountWaveCounting
  19. 19CountingWeedMath
  20. 20ChanceMathProbability
Crafting tree
1Water + Waterโ†’ Lake2Earth + Waterโ†’ Plant3Plant + Windโ†’ Dandelion4Dandelion + Waterโ†’ Wine5Fire + Wineโ†’ Alcohol6Alcohol + Windโ†’ Hangover7Hangover + Windโ†’ Hanglider8Earth + Hangliderโ†’ Parachute9Alcohol + Lakeโ†’ Vodka10Parachute + Vodkaโ†’ Russian Roulette11Lake + Russian Rouletteโ†’ Odds12Odds + Windโ†’ Chance13Water + Wineโ†’ Holy Water14Fire + Holy Waterโ†’ Vampire15Dandelion + Plantโ†’ Weed16Vampire + Weedโ†’ Count17Water + Windโ†’ Wave18Count + Waveโ†’ Counting19Counting + Weedโ†’ Math20Chance + Mathโ†’ Probability

Other ways to make Probability

10 combinations are known to produce Probability. Here are 10 of them.

Alternative combinations that produce Probability
FirstSecondResult
ChanceMathProbability
ChanceGeometryProbability
BProProbability
ChanceMathematicianProbability
FuturePossibilityProbability
CorruptPossibilityProbability
HotterPossibilityProbability
ArenaProbablyProbability
DegreesPossibilityProbability
PossibilityShorterProbability

What you can make with Probability

Probability at a glance

Steps to craft
20
Long
Crafting depth
30
longer than 85% of solved elements
Known recipes
10
ways to make it
Used in
48
other combinations

Other elements that take 20 steps

Similar effort to Probability, if you want something else to chase.

Frequently asked questions

How do you make Probability in Infinite Craft?

Combine Chance with Math. The full path from the base elements takes 20 steps.

How many steps does it take to make Probability?

20 steps on the shortest known path from Water, Fire, Wind and Earth.

Is Probability hard to make in Infinite Craft?

It rates as long. At 20 steps it is longer than 85% of solved elements.

Is there more than one way to make Probability?

Yes. 10 combinations are known to produce Probability, and the shortest route is shown above.

Path verified against the open recipe graph on . Method described in our methodology, data credited on data sources.